Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 0.001843 0.001951 0.002063 0.002188 0.002323 0.002465 0.002625
2025-05-18 0.001679 0.001833 0.001997 0.002188 0.002404 0.002641 0.002924
2025-05-25 0.001540 0.001718 0.001915 0.002151 0.002426 0.002740 0.003127
2025-06-01 0.001442 0.001637 0.001859 0.002130 0.002457 0.002841 0.003330
2025-06-08 0.001380 0.001591 0.001836 0.002142 0.002521 0.002978 0.003580
2025-06-15 0.001311 0.001532 0.001791 0.002123 0.002542 0.003059 0.003760
2025-06-22 0.001257 0.001485 0.001758 0.002114 0.002571 0.003149 0.003952
2025-06-29 0.001203 0.001436 0.001718 0.002092 0.002582 0.003214 0.004111
2025-07-06 0.001152 0.001387 0.001677 0.002066 0.002583 0.003262 0.004250
2025-07-13 0.001092 0.001326 0.001616 0.002010 0.002541 0.003251 0.004301
2025-07-20 0.001065 0.001304 0.001604 0.002017 0.002583 0.003353 0.004518
2025-07-27 0.001045 0.001290 0.001601 0.002036 0.002641 0.003479 0.004776
2025-08-03 0.001034 0.001289 0.001619 0.002086 0.002750 0.003692 0.005189
2025-08-10 0.001006 0.001266 0.001606 0.002093 0.002798 0.003818 0.005482
2025-08-17 0.000966 0.001224 0.001565 0.002060 0.002785 0.003853 0.005632
2025-08-24 0.000934 0.001192 0.001535 0.002041 0.002793 0.003918 0.005834
2025-08-31 0.000914 0.001176 0.001528 0.002052 0.002845 0.004054 0.006162
2025-09-07 0.000886 0.001147 0.001501 0.002034 0.002851 0.004116 0.006370
2025-09-14 0.000863 0.001124 0.001481 0.002025 0.002870 0.004199 0.006619
2025-09-21 0.000837 0.001096 0.001455 0.002005 0.002869 0.004251 0.006815
2025-09-28 0.000812 0.001068 0.001426 0.001980 0.002860 0.004286 0.006982
2025-10-05 0.000779 0.001029 0.001380 0.001927 0.002803 0.004239 0.006991
2025-10-12 0.000765 0.001017 0.001373 0.001934 0.002843 0.004357 0.007324